Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Domain Zur Overlords , Elves , Golgari Beanstalk , Golgari Demons , Golgari Lifedrain Combo , Golgari Reanimator , Golgari Surprise , Gruul Beanstalk , Gruul Dinosaurs , Gruul Surprise
Meta Performance Analysis
Smuggler's Surprise ranks #414 out of approximately 413 cards in raw efficiency (top 100%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Green average: 65.9%
Performance compared to other Green cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Smuggler's Surprise is an underperforming card in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: N/A (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheoldred, the Apocalypse | Legendary Creature — Phyrexian Praetor | 5 | 65.0% | 3 |
| Sire of Seven Deaths | Creature — Eldrazi | 11 | 54.9% | 3 |
| Three Steps Ahead | Instant | 5 | 49.7% | 2 |
| Split Up | Sorcery | 5 | 49.2% | 1 |
| Cut Down | Instant | 18 | 48.4% | 5 |
| Zombify | Sorcery | 11 | 47.9% | 4 |
| Obstinate Baloth | Creature — Beast | 29 | 46.2% | 6 |
| Harvester of Misery | Creature — Spirit | 18 | 43.4% | 5 |
| Bitter Triumph | Instant | 14 | 43.2% | 4 |
| Gix's Command | Sorcery | 8 | 42.6% | 2 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Smuggler's Surprise than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gruul Surprise | 26 | 100.0% | 39.7% |
| Golgari Reanimator | 9 | 69.2% | 47.4% |
| Unclassified | 8 | 3.9% | 36.9% |
| Unknown Archetype | 7 | 1.9% | 19.5% |
| Domain Zur Overlords | 6 | 0.5% | 38.4% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.